Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 3.815275 4.240240 4.694740 5.217337 5.802092 6.436746 7.178430
2026-02-08 3.047726 3.618827 4.273415 5.080712 6.051729 7.184723 8.610898
2026-02-15 2.565078 3.213660 4.000172 5.027596 6.339463 7.965279 10.143573
2026-02-22 2.284151 2.994413 3.897861 5.137377 6.803309 8.978228 12.054741
2026-03-01 2.019684 2.752148 3.722704 5.111711 7.063217 9.728932 13.683141
2026-03-08 1.767324 2.490513 3.483464 4.957956 7.111850 10.173917 14.911614
2026-03-15 1.593621 2.315146 3.338331 4.909765 7.288661 10.797177 16.441387
2026-03-22 1.493988 2.233188 3.313704 5.026706 7.708945 11.805331 18.644959
2026-03-29 1.408658 2.162056 3.294776 5.144485 8.133732 12.851088 21.008812
2026-04-05 1.311341 2.062089 3.220400 5.164221 8.398687 13.660671 23.062717
2026-04-12 1.208093 1.942662 3.103399 5.101140 8.516788 14.233297 24.764836
2026-04-19 1.110340 1.823129 2.974888 5.004739 8.565054 14.685238 26.292031
2026-04-26 1.021205 1.712186 2.853997 4.914878 8.623930 15.174681 27.968994
2026-05-03 0.941504 1.610681 2.740633 4.827744 8.679115 15.662826 29.700610
2026-05-10 0.878772 1.533143 2.661636 4.793648 8.825519 16.328401 31.843725
2026-05-17 0.844667 1.503045 2.662844 4.904607 9.250745 17.554338 35.229852
2026-05-24 0.793941 1.438627 2.596718 4.882776 9.417768 18.296248 37.711070
2026-05-31 0.730854 1.346399 2.472054 4.737312 9.326788 18.516018 39.115891
2026-06-07 0.686740 1.286203 2.402189 4.691786 9.429874 19.133684 41.440030
2026-06-14 0.665703 1.268323 2.411150 4.803380 9.864362 20.477366 45.524082
2026-06-21 0.646010 1.251420 2.420384 4.915674 10.309743 21.886034 49.921307
2026-06-28 0.617161 1.214142 2.386300 4.934505 10.555140 22.882163 53.469801
2026-07-05 0.582107 1.161779 2.317870 4.874408 10.620935 23.483363 56.138189